Skip to main content

VOTING HEAVY IN MAINE--THIS IS GOOD NEWS FOR EQUALITY!

WE'RE IN CRUNCH MODE! UPDATE: Voting steady in state's largest cities | Portland Press Herald:
"Maine Secretary of State Matthew Dunlap says he now expects more than 50 percent of Mainers would vote by the time polls close today.

By 2:30 p.m. Dunlap had visited polls in Portland, Old town, Augusta and Lewiston and revised his earlier estimate, based on absentee ballot returns, that 35 percent of Maine’s voters would turn out. He said it was obvious that people were show up at the polls.

'You see a lot of feet underneath the curtains,' said Dunlap.

Dunlap said he is fielding calls from media outlets around the country that are focusing on the same-sex marriage ballot question."

Experts--like Nate Silver--believed that a low voter turnout would mean that enemies of equality would dominate the polls (Nate Silver says that on gay marriage, Conservatives have the "enthusiasm edge"), and that HIGH VOTER TURNOUT would mean that young people and students who SUPPORT equality are feeling compelled to turn out to the polls despite not having major offices to vote for. We can assume that No On One is at least competing well if numbers are high.

Because the biggest question in this campaign is Marriage Equality, most pollsters guessed that the non-LGBT people most compelled to vote would be the people AGAINST Marriage Equality, so lower voter turnout would be bad news for Equality. The higher the number, the greater the percentage of those folks would be pro-equality.

Read more of Nate Silver's analysis here: http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/11/2009-elections-preview-maine-question-1.html

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

In anti-gay attack, AIM falsely asserts "pedophile" Jennings was "teaching 14-year-old boys" about sexual practices | Media Matters for America

In anti-gay attack, AIM falsely asserts "pedophile" Jennings was "teaching 14-year-old boys" about sexual practices | Media Matters for America : "In attacking the media for allegedly insufficient coverage of Obama administration official Kevin Jennings, a blogger for Accuracy in Media, which purports to 'set the record straight on important issues that have received slanted coverage' -- and which has a record of antagonism toward gays -- smeared Jennings as a 'pedophile' and falsely claimed that '[v]ideos have surfaced of Jennings teaching 14-year-old boys the dangerous sexual practice of 'fisting,' and discussing with them the particulars of oral sex.' In fact, Jennings did not conduct that seminar and, in fact, reportedly criticized it when he became aware of its content." AIM is a crock. They're nothing more than Republican mouthpieces.

Michigan: Announcement of Calvin College board's stand on homosexuality, same-sex marriage expected soon

Big news out of Michigan, surely the Professors (who tend to be very progressive) can't wait to find out - MLive.com : "Calvin College professors will find out Monday whether the college’s governing board will withdraw a controversial memo ordering them to follow Christian Reformed Church teachings against homosexuality and same-sex marriage. President Gaylen Byker will update faculty on board discussions that took place over the weekend by the Board of Trustees, including a decision on the memo, spokesman Phil de Haan said Saturday."

NEW BILERICO GUEST POST: What the GLAAD Network Report Means

MY NEWEST CONTRIBUTION TO BILERICO; PLEASE VISIT BILERICO.COM FOR THE ENTIRE POST! Yesterday, GLAAD released its Network Responsibility Index report for 2009, ranking the top broadcast and cable networks on their LGBT inclusivity in programming. ABC led the broadcast networks this year with depictions like Ugly Betty 's gay Ken-doll Marc, played by Michael Urie, among other depictions on other shows. HBO led the cable networks with shows like gay-created True Blood , No. 1 Ladies Detective Agency , and Big Love ; with over 42% of programming being LGBT inclusive. We're not surprised that there were so many cable networks that ranked high on the index; #2 Showtime's programming consisted of 24% LGBT-inclusive programming, #3 TNT dedicated 19% of its hours to LGBT-inclusive content, #4 MTV 17% (really, only 17?), and #5 Lifetime—the in-denial fourth gay network—had 14%. This was all while the Network's rankings topped out at ABC's 24% and went down from there to C