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Can we trust Rasmussen anymore?

Nate Silver: FiveThirtyEight:


Anonymous said…
We can trust them if they realize how/why they were off so much and adjust accordingly. Otherwise, no.
Thorne Cassidy said…
I suspect that this isn't merely an unconscious bias. I believe that there polls are designed to influence the races.
Thorne Cassidy said…
Yeah I realize that I just wrote "there" instead of "their." Sorry.
Ameriqueer said…
I got ya! ;-)

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Chris Geidner: In Iowa, judges are ousted.

Via Chris Geidner's Poliglot blog at Metro Weekly:


In Iowa, which declared Iowa's marriage ban unconstitutional under the state's constitution in 2009, the National Organization for Marriage got one of its first electoral victories this year. The judicial retention elections appear to have resulted in the replacement of all three justices up for a vote this year.

Here, as of 3:35 a.m. and with 1767 out of 1774 precincts reporting, are the Iowa Secretary of State's election results:

Supreme Court Justice David L. Baker
Yes 443437 45.75%
No 525865 54.25%

Supreme Court Justice Michael J. Streit
Yes 442459 45.6%
No 527921 54.4%

Supreme Court Chief Justice Marsha Ternus
Yes 437118 44.99%
No 534486 55.01%

The court was unanimous in its 2009 ruling that Iowa's constitution required marriage equality."


Happy Hour Roundup will be coming late today. Fortunately, there is lots of news to report on! Unfortunately, there will be no time for me to collect it and send it. Expect it between 5pm and 6pm!